Thursday, September 29, 2011

2011/09/26 decisionmoose.com signal: sell Gold GLD and switch to Cash (3moT)

On Monday September 26, a new signal was published at http://decisionmoose.com/Moosignal.html :

Sell:  Gold GLD
Buy: Cash (3moT)

More details about the portfolio and the transaction history at:  http://decisionmoose.com/Moosistory.html

An evaluation of decisionmoose's GDL investement during the period Monday, May 2 - Friday, September 23, 2011 will follow shortly here at InOutSignal. Also check the evaluation of decicionmoose's last investment in the Russel 2000 IWM here. 

Thursday, September 8, 2011

2011/09/07 kimblechartingsolutions.com: harvest "safe havens" Gold GLD, Swiss Franc FXF, and 20 Year Treasury Bonds TLT

Chris Kimble (blog.kimblechartingsolutions.com) uses a nice chart showing that GOLD GLD, the SWISS FRANC FXF and the 20 Year Treasury Bonds TLT and have found long-term key resistance, all at the same time. Check out Chris' blog here:


From Chris' analysis it is clear that owning these "safe havens" plays at the wrong time - NOW - bears as much risk as any other type of investment. Chris concludes: "I remain of the opinion that conservative investors should harvest up against resistance and aggressive investors should "attempt to score on defense" at resistance with an upside stop if resistance doesn't hold."

Thursday, September 1, 2011

2011/08/31 dshort.com - S&P 500 slips below 12-month SMA and triggers SELL SIGNAL

One of the slower signals monitored here at InOutSignal is that by dshort.com based on the 12-month moving average (SMA). On August 31, 2011, the S&P 500 had its first monthly close since June 2010 below the 12-month SMA. According to the rules of the dshort.com strategy, one monthly close below the SMA is sufficient to trigger a SELL SIGNAL. This is in contrast to the InOutSignal strategy that requires TWO monthly closes below the SMA. Therefore, the earliest possible sell signal of the InOutSignal strategy would occur at the end of September 2011, if the bear market continues.