Monday, April 2, 2012
2012/04/01 InOutSignal triggers long-term BUY signal for German DAX
Tuesday, March 6, 2012
2012/03/05 InOutSignal midterm Elliott wave charts for the DAX and the Russel 2000
Friday, March 2, 2012
2012/03/02 NEW on InOutSignal: midterm and longterm Elliott wave analyses on selected indices and currencies
A new page has been added to InOutSignal.blogspot.com, in order to provide my users with midterm and longterm Elliott wave analyses on selected indices and currencies. Please check out this link: InOutElliott
Thursday, March 1, 2012
2012/03/01 InOutSignal triggers long-term BUY for S&P 500
On February 29, 2012, the second monthly candle of the S&P 500 closed above its 12-month SMA. Consequently, on March 1, 2012 the InOutSignal strategy has triggered a new long-term BUY signal for the S&P 500 (SPX, SPY).
Signal rules for the 12-month-SMA (blue-line) trading strategy:
have CLOSED below the 12-month-SMA
Signal rules for the 12-month-SMA (blue-line) trading strategy:
- Go long on 1st day of a new month when 2 monthly candles
have CLOSED above the 12-month-SMA
- Go short on 1st day of a new month when 2 monthly candles have CLOSED above the 12-month-SMA
have CLOSED below the 12-month-SMA
Wednesday, February 15, 2012
2012/02/13 decisionmoose.com signal: Buy US Small Caps, IWM - Russel 2000
On Monday February 13, 2012, a new BUY (switch) signal was published at http://decisionmoose.com/Moosignal.html :
Buy: US Small Caps (IWM, Russel 2000)
Sell: BTTRX Long-term Treasury Bonds (or ETF alternatives TLT, EDV, ZROZ)
More details about the portfolio and the transaction history at: http://decisionmoose.com/Moosistory.html
Please note the comments of the signal author at decisionmoose.com/Moosignal.html :
"The model switches from Long-term Zero-Coupon Treasury Bonds to US Small Cap stocks (IWM) on 02/10/2011 @ $81.27. Always familiarize yourself with any investment program and the assets involved before committing to it. Read the FAQs and The Art of the Switch, below, and get a prospectus online from the fund provider.) "
Buy: US Small Caps (IWM, Russel 2000)
Sell: BTTRX Long-term Treasury Bonds (or ETF alternatives TLT, EDV, ZROZ)
More details about the portfolio and the transaction history at: http://decisionmoose.com/Moosistory.html
Please note the comments of the signal author at decisionmoose.com/Moosignal.html :
"The model switches from Long-term Zero-Coupon Treasury Bonds to US Small Cap stocks (IWM) on 02/10/2011 @ $81.27. Always familiarize yourself with any investment program and the assets involved before committing to it. Read the FAQs and The Art of the Switch, below, and get a prospectus online from the fund provider.) "
2012/02/09 Goerke's International Stock-Climate Index triggers BUY SIGNAL
Ralf Goerke's monthly update on his proprietary and long-term tested Global Market-Climate Index can be found on his webpage or on www.teleboerse.de (in German). At the end of January, Goerke's International Stock-Climate Indicator had moved above the 1.0-threshold line, hinting that a BUY SIGNAL might be coming up soon. Gorke's BUY SIGNAL
was then triggered on February 9, 2012, the day when it was also published
in his subscription-only e-letter. On February 14, 2012 his buy signal
was first made public on www.DAF.fm
SIGNAL German DAX and international markets: BUY SIGNAL - since 9 February 2012
SIGNAL German DAX and international markets: BUY SIGNAL - since 9 February 2012
Thursday, February 9, 2012
2012/02/08 www.theetfbully.com issues new BUY SIGNAL for international equity funds
On Tuesday February 7, 2012 a new BUY signal was published at www.theetfbully.com:, to be in effect as of February 8, 2012:
Buy: International Equity Funds / ETFs
Please read ALL the important comments of the signal author, Ulli the ETF BULLY at http://www.theetfbully.com/. Specifically, Ulli notes in his post:
"In regards to trends, our International Trend Tracking Index (TTI), which started to cross its long-term trend line last week, has now rallied above it by +2.83% generating a ‘Buy’ for that area.
Again, this only applies to “broadly diversified international equity ETFs/mutual funds.” If you are not fully invested at this point, you may consider allocating to this area as well. If you do, it is absolutely imperative that you maintain a trailing sell stop on your positions at all times, in case this new cycle runs into resistance and heads back into bear market territory."
You will find investment opportunities in Ulli's table with the Top International Funds / ETFs as of February 2, 2012 here.
Buy: International Equity Funds / ETFs
Please read ALL the important comments of the signal author, Ulli the ETF BULLY at http://www.theetfbully.com/. Specifically, Ulli notes in his post:
"In regards to trends, our International Trend Tracking Index (TTI), which started to cross its long-term trend line last week, has now rallied above it by +2.83% generating a ‘Buy’ for that area.
Again, this only applies to “broadly diversified international equity ETFs/mutual funds.” If you are not fully invested at this point, you may consider allocating to this area as well. If you do, it is absolutely imperative that you maintain a trailing sell stop on your positions at all times, in case this new cycle runs into resistance and heads back into bear market territory."
You will find investment opportunities in Ulli's table with the Top International Funds / ETFs as of February 2, 2012 here.
Friday, February 3, 2012
2012/01/27 Goerke's International Stock-Climate Index hints BUY SIGNAL is ante portas
Ralf Goerke's monthly update on his proprietary and long-term tested International Stock-Climate Index can be found on his webpage or on www.teleboerse.de (in German). At the end of January, Goerke's International Stock-Climate Indicator has moved above the 1.0-line, hinting that a BUY SIGNAL might be coming up soon (or as Goerke puts it: buy signal ante portas). Gorke's BUY SIGNAL will be triggered when both,
the indicator and its moving average cross the threshold value of 1.0.
This might happen as early as in the second or third week of February 2012.
SIGNAL international markets: BUY SIGNAL around the corner — ante portas
SIGNAL international markets: BUY SIGNAL around the corner — ante portas
Wednesday, February 1, 2012
2012/02/01 dshort.com triggers BUY SIGNAL for the S&P 500
Among many other signals, dshort.com monitors a simple but effective in-out-strategy based on the FIRST monthly close of the S&P 500 above or below its 12-month moving average (SMA). On January 31, 2012, the S&P 500 had its first monthly close above the 12-month SMA so that a BUY SIGNAL was triggered today on February 1, 2012. This BUY SIGNAL comes after five monthly closes below the 12-monthly SMA, since August 2011.
Sunday, November 6, 2011
2011/10/27 www.theetfbully.com issues new BUY SIGNAL for domestic equity funds (U.S.)
On Monday October 27, 2011 a new BUY signal was published at www.theetfbully.com:
Buy: Domestic U.S. Equity Funds
Please read ALL the important comments of the signal author, Ulli the ETF BULLY at http://www.theetfbully.com/. Specifically, Ulli notes in his 10/27/2011 StatSheet:
"The domestic TTI broke through its long-term trend line generating a Sell for this area effective 8/9/2011. Over the recent past, we’ve seen the TTI hovering slightly below and above this dividing line between bullish and bearish territory. The clear break to the upside occurred on 10/24/11 and, effective 10/25/11, a new Buy signal for domestic equities is in effect."
You will find investment opportunities in Ulli's table with the 100 Top domestic U.S. Fonds here and his BUY signal here:
Buy: Domestic U.S. Equity Funds
Please read ALL the important comments of the signal author, Ulli the ETF BULLY at http://www.theetfbully.com/. Specifically, Ulli notes in his 10/27/2011 StatSheet:
"The domestic TTI broke through its long-term trend line generating a Sell for this area effective 8/9/2011. Over the recent past, we’ve seen the TTI hovering slightly below and above this dividing line between bullish and bearish territory. The clear break to the upside occurred on 10/24/11 and, effective 10/25/11, a new Buy signal for domestic equities is in effect."
You will find investment opportunities in Ulli's table with the 100 Top domestic U.S. Fonds here and his BUY signal here:
Monday, October 3, 2011
2011/10/03 decisionmoose.com signal: Buy BTTRX (or TLT, EDV, ZROZ) Long-term Treasury Bonds
Buy: BTTRX Long-term Treasury Bonds (or ETF alternatives TLT, EDV, ZROZ)
Sell: Cash (3moT)
More details about the portfolio and the transaction history at: http://decisionmoose.com/Moosistory.html
Please note the comments of the signal author at decisionmoose.com/Moosignal.html :
"The model switches from cash to Long-term Zero-Coupon Treasury Bonds (BTTRX) on 09/30/2011 @ $83.79. (The ETF alternatives to BTTRX, which is a mutual fund, are TLT, EDV, and ZROZ. Note that a lack of liquidity in some ETFs may exacerbate their volatility. Always familiarize yourself with any investment program and the assets involved before committing to it. Read the FAQs and The Art of the Switch, below.)"
2011/09/30 inoutsignal.blogspot.com: another SELL signal for German DAX
The InOutSignal strategy is a slow but quite efficient technique to time the markets and to avoid too much whipsaw. The strategy triggers a Sell/Buy signal only when two subsequent monthly candles fall below/above the 12-month-SMA (blue-line), respectively (see also the InOutSignals page)
After being long in the German DAX for 2 years and one month, the index has now triggered a new SELL signal on September 30, 2011. Unlike the summer 2010 action, the current developments indicate a real bear market that should respected as such. Capital preservation now has highest priority as it is not foreseeable where the current market turmoils will take us. The severeness of the drop that the DAX experienced during the last two months does not call for an involvement on the short side, as the risk of a snap back would just too high.
As visible in the chart, had you used the InOutSignal 12-month SMA strategy for the DAX during the last 2 years, you would only have come out just even. In any case, the strategy would have protected you (as many times before) from losses and also from the 2010 summer whipsaw. A comparison of the strategy's performance with that of other MA techniques (e.g. on dshort.com which got whipsawed in summer 2010) will be presented shortly here at InOutSignal.
Signal rules for the 12-month-SMA (blue-line) trading strategy:
have CLOSED below the 12-month-SMA
After being long in the German DAX for 2 years and one month, the index has now triggered a new SELL signal on September 30, 2011. Unlike the summer 2010 action, the current developments indicate a real bear market that should respected as such. Capital preservation now has highest priority as it is not foreseeable where the current market turmoils will take us. The severeness of the drop that the DAX experienced during the last two months does not call for an involvement on the short side, as the risk of a snap back would just too high.
As visible in the chart, had you used the InOutSignal 12-month SMA strategy for the DAX during the last 2 years, you would only have come out just even. In any case, the strategy would have protected you (as many times before) from losses and also from the 2010 summer whipsaw. A comparison of the strategy's performance with that of other MA techniques (e.g. on dshort.com which got whipsawed in summer 2010) will be presented shortly here at InOutSignal.
Signal rules for the 12-month-SMA (blue-line) trading strategy:
- Go long on 1st day of a new month when 2 monthly candles
have CLOSED above the 12-month-SMA
- Go short on 1st day of a new month when 2 monthly candles have CLOSED above the 12-month-SMA
have CLOSED below the 12-month-SMA
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