Thursday, November 7, 2013

2013/11/07 DAX Double-Whammy UPDATE: Squeeze fired long on interest rate news


 UPDATE: DAX and its squeeze release double-whammy :) 


(compare with post this morning)

2013/11/07 DAX Double-Whammy Squeeze: 4h and 1h power waiting for today's news releases


The DAX and many other indices are setting up for a double-whammy: pressure is building before the news releases today, and the indices are squeezed into narrow ranges. The DAX has a Squeeze in the 1h and the 4h chart, just waiting to release the pressure in one or the other direction. Two-sided strategies that speculate on larger movements are favored in this situation. 

Tuesday, November 5, 2013

2013/11/04 DAX 1h-Squeeze breakout - the impulsive move has started

 
After getting squeezed twice in a short time, the DAX has finally blown the pressure valve an moved impulsively to the downside this morning. And, there might be much more downside potential! Also check out other indices like FTSE 100 and S&P 500, the impulsive moves are similar and the downside potential too. 
 

 

Friday, November 1, 2013

2013/11/01 DAX 1h-Squeeze forming - be prepared for impulsive move


The DAX has entered into a 1h-Squeeze (the Bollinger Bands entering into the Keltner Channel). Frequently, during a squeeze pressure is building up that needs to be released in an impulsive move, once the squeeze fires to one or the other side. The TRIX and the MACD indicate decreasing momentum, so the squeeze firing to the downside would be the more likely scenario. 
 
Option traders like squeezes, because they mean fast and furious moves - great for long delta 70 options plays. So be prepared ... :) 
 

Friday, October 25, 2013

2013/10/25 CVI short setup - rejected at 42 heading down for 34

CVI has tested  the Fibonacci Cluster around 42 and is now heading down to support at 36.5, and maybe even lower to 34.
Support: 36.5
Extension target 127.2%: 34
Extension target 161.8%: 32

2013/10/25 QIHU setup - found support at 85 Fibonacci Cluster, now heading for 100


After a corrective move, QIHU has found support at the Fibonacci Cluster around 85. Now it's heading higher with the master trend  aiming for the 127.2% extension target of 100. The TTM_Squeeze has also fired long and its increasing squeeze-momentum (light blue bars) are supporting the idea of further upside potential. It's all setting up nicely for a good Risk/Reward trade.

Extension target 127.2%: 100
Extension target 161.8%: 104
Support cluster (stop):  84 - 85


Thursday, October 24, 2013

Friday, October 18, 2013

2013/10/18 GLD Gold ETF - facing strong upside resistance by Fibonacci Cluster


GLD Gold ETF - although GLD has broken out of a decending wedge yesterday, it is facing strong overhead resistance by a dense Fibonacci Cluster. If the 127.6 - 130.3 cluster zone can be cleared, there is plenty of room to the upside, with the extension targets:

Extension target 127.2%: 141.92
Extension target 161.8%: 147.41




Thursday, October 17, 2013

2013/10/17 EEM Emerging Markets ETF - daily chart with Fibonacci Cluster targets and Elliott wave count



EEM MSCI Emerging Markets ETF - daily chart with Fibonacci Cluster targets and Elliott wave count:
Target Zone 1 (around 127.2% extension):             43.6-44
Target Zone 2 (around 161.8% extension):             44.6-45

Wednesday, October 16, 2013

2013/10/16 DOW Jones Industrial Futures YM - daily chart with Fibonacci Clusters - support and resistance


DOW Futures YM - daily chart with Fibonacci clusters indicating the support and resistance zones:

Support 1:                                15050-14970
Resistance Zone 1:                15250-15270
Risistance Zone 2:                 15410-15460
Extension Target 127,2%:      15926