Monday, November 19, 2012

2012/11/91 EURAUD Elliott Wave VIDEO ANALYSIS and CHART

Today on Nov 19, 2012, the EURAUD currency pair exhibits nice emerging ABC patterns in three different time frames, the 5 min, 4 hour and daily charts. The chart and the purely educational video below show how an entry into the marked would be possible in the lowest time frame (5 min) with a relatively low-risk nearby stop, but with a potential to catch a long run that might lead up to 1.3 or higher in the daily time frame.







Video Analysis: EURAUD




Be aware that trading any kind of financial asset carries the risk of loosing money!

Wednesday, November 14, 2012

2012/11/13 blog.kimblechartingsolutions.com: Dual test of support for the S&P 500 (SPX, SPY)

In his blog, Chris Kimble identifies a current long-term rising wedge pattern in the S&P 500, which resembles the rising wedges that build up during the periods 1998-2000 and 2006-2007, before large market shifts to the downside occurred. The current wedge is also nearing long-term resistance at 1550 that has held since 2000. In conclusion, this is a time when "risk off" is definitively the safer play!

Chris Kimble blogs: "An important "Dual Test of support" is at hand right now for the 500 index. Long investors best hope it holds, because the support line off the 2009 low is very important!  FYI- Support is Support until broken! Twice over the past 12 years, the 500 index broke support lines of these rising wedges at (1) in the chart below and prices fell off quiet a bit."


Thursday, August 30, 2012

2012/08/27 decisionmoose.com: BUY US Large Caps (SPY) - SELL Long-term Treasury Bonds (BTTRX, TLT)

For Monday August 27, 2012, a new SWITCH SIGNAL (SELL and BUY new) was published as of Friday's close at http://decisionmoose.com/Moosignal.html :

Sell: BTTRX Long-term Treasury Bonds (or ETF alternatives TLT, EDV, ZROZ)
Buy: US Large Cap Stocks (SPY, SPX)

More details about the portfolio and the transaction history at:  http://decisionmoose.com/Moosistory.html

Please note the comments of the signal author at decisionmoose.com/Moosignal.html :

"The model switches from to US Zero-Coupon Long Treasury bonds (BTTRX) to US Large Cap stocks (SPY) on 08/10/2012 @ $140.84. Always familiarize yourself with any investment program and the assets involved before committing to it. Read the FAQs and The Art of the Switch, below, and get a prospectus online from the fund provider.)"

Friday, June 22, 2012

2012/06/21 DOW JONES midterm Elliott Wave VIDEO ANALYSIS and CHART



After yesterday's sell-off, it's time for a fresh Elliott look at the DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL INDEX. As we have run against the mayor resistance level at 12900 in the last days, yesterday's huge drop can be interpreted as the start of a new mid-term Elliott wave. This wave will be the 3rd leg of an ABC formation that started with a dynamic Wave A down during May 2012 and its subsequently corrected in Wave B up until June 20. The recently launched 3rd Elliott Wave C is expected to cover at least 100% of the range of Wave A, i.e. the target area for Wave C will be around 11600. At the current stage (DOW @12600, with our target about 1000 ticks away), this setup provides us with good opportunities to construct mid-term trades with a few weeks holding time and very beneficial risk/reward ratios.



Mid-term:  Wave C will likely develop in 5 sub-waves down to 12400, 12000 and finally 11600.
      


Video Analysis for the Dow Jones Industrial Index

Thursday, June 14, 2012

2012/06/14 EURUSD midterm Elliott Wave chart

Updated mid-term chart for our earlier EURUSD VIDEO ANALYSIS of 1 June 2012



Mid-term:  corrective Wave 4 has reached the 38.2% retracement level and is likely to head down in Wave 5 to 1.2274 (100%) or 1.2032 (161.8%)
     

Friday, June 8, 2012

2012/06/08 11:00 CET: DOW daytrade idea based on Elliott Waves and Fibonacci

Chances are good that today we will see a bearish retracement of the DOW into the 50-61% area (12300 - 12200) or or even lower. The upwards trend since June 4 has already been broken this morning, at around 10:00 CET. For Elliott Wave and Fibonacci fans there is also a video for more details on the analysis.



Tuesday, June 5, 2012

2012/06/04 InOutSignal SELL SIGNALS - who is first?




InOutSignals: Please take note of these four important longterm
SELL Signals that have been issued since 7 May 2012


InOutSignal  Date  Signal Source  Signal Markets
12/06/04 momentumstrategie.deSell DAX, S&P 500, SPY World Markets
12/06/01 kimblechartingsolutions.com SellS&P 500, Broad Markets, World Markets
12/05/17  theetfbully.comSellInternational Funds and ETFs
12/05/07 decisionmoose.comSell S&P 500, SPY

The chart below gives you an idea how these four SELL SIGNALS would have performed for an  S&P 500 investor.
Please use the InOutDates page to see a full list of BUY and SELL signals on InOutSignal.




Monday, June 4, 2012

2012/06/04 mid-term Elliott Analysis of the German DAX

Mid-term:   after the break of the purple Elliott 5-Wave defense line on June 1, 2012 at 6200, the way is now open for further moves downwards, possibly following a new 5-Wave pattern. In this pattern, Wave 3 could initially run down to about 5770 (162.8% extension) and then retrace back to about 6200 in Wave 4 (38.2% retracement)  

Long-term:  if this 5-wave pattern develops, Wave 5 could reach down as far as 5600 or even approach the September 2011 low at around 5000 

Sunday, June 3, 2012

2012/06/03 Why InOutSignals for S&P500, DOW and DAX turned red on June 1, 2012


This video will give you a quick update on a few important market signals followed here on
InOutSignal.com and it will deliver one clear message:
Watch out, the risk is high at the moment that markets will drop sharply !


2012/06/01 EURUSD midterm Elliott Wave VIDEO ANALYSIS and CHART

In today's InOutSignal post, I feature not only a Chart of the EURUSD, but also a VIDEO ANALYSIS with a mid-term and long-term view of this important currency pair. Your feedback on content and quality of this video is greatly appreciated. More to come soon !


Mid-term:  Wave 3 likely to reach the 261.8% extension around 1.2150,
before corrective 38.2% retracement back to 1.2620 in
Wave 4  
      
Long-term: continuation of the bearish movement likely with Wave 5
down to the targets 1.210 (100%) and 1.1040 (161.8%)







Friday, May 18, 2012

2012/05/17 www.theetfbully.com issues new SELL SIGNAL for international equity funds

On Friday May 18, 2012 a new SELL SIGNAL for international equity funds was published in the weekly StatSheet at www.theetfbully.com. The International TTI crossed below its long-term trend line signaling a ‘Sell’ as announced, in effect as of May 15, 2012:

Sell:  International Equity Funds / ETFs

Please read ALL the important comments of the signal author, Ulli the ETF BULLY at http://www.theetfbully.com/. Specifically, Ulli notes in his post: "... this only applies to “broadly diversified international equity ETFs/mutual funds."




Monday, May 7, 2012

2012/05/07 decisionmoose.com: SELL US Large Caps (SPY), BUY Long-term Treasury Bonds (BTTRX, TLT)

On Monday May 7, 2012, a new SWITCH SIGNAL (SELL and BUY new) was published at http://decisionmoose.com/Moosignal.html :

Sell: BTTRX US Large Cap Stocks (SPY)
Buy: BTTRX Long-term Treasury Bonds (or ETF alternatives TLT, EDV, ZROZ)

More details about the portfolio and the transaction history at:  http://decisionmoose.com/Moosistory.html

Please note the comments of the signal author at decisionmoose.com/Moosignal.html :

"The model switches from US Large Cap stocks (SPY) to US Zero-Coupon Long Treasury bonds (BTTRX) on 05/04/2012 @ $84.87. Always familiarize yourself with any investment program and the assets involved before committing to it. Read the FAQs and The Art of the Switch, below, and get a prospectus online from the fund provider.) "

 

Tuesday, April 3, 2012

2012/04/03 InOutSignal midterm Elliott wave charts for the DAX and Silver ( SLV - XAGUSD )

Find updated midterm Elliott wave charts for the DAX and the Silver ( SLV - XAGUSD ) on InOutElliott


 
                                 

SLV - XAGUSD   
                                                 

Monday, April 2, 2012

2012/04/01 InOutSignal triggers long-term BUY signal for German DAX

On March 30, 2012, the second monthly candle of the German DAX closed above its 12-month SMA. Consequently, on Monday April 2, 2012, the InOutSignal strategy has triggered a new long-term BUY signal for the DAX. An updated chart for the S&P 500 (SPY), which already triggered a BUY on March 1, 2012, can be found here.

Tuesday, March 6, 2012

2012/03/05 InOutSignal midterm Elliott wave charts for the DAX and the Russel 2000

Find updated midterm Elliott wave charts for the DAX and the Russel 2000 on InOutElliott

    

DAX                                                    Russel 2000




Friday, March 2, 2012

2012/03/02 NEW on InOutSignal: midterm and longterm Elliott wave analyses on selected indices and currencies

A new page has been added to InOutSignal.blogspot.com, in order to provide my users with midterm and longterm Elliott wave analyses on selected indices and currencies. Please check out this link:  InOutElliott    


Thursday, March 1, 2012

2012/03/01 InOutSignal triggers long-term BUY for S&P 500

On February 29, 2012, the second monthly candle of the S&P 500 closed above its 12-month SMA. Consequently, on March 1, 2012 the InOutSignal strategy has triggered a new long-term BUY signal for the S&P 500 (SPX, SPY).


 Signal rules for the 12-month-SMA (blue-line) trading strategy:
                 - Go long on 1st day of a new month when 2 monthly candles
                  have CLOSED above the 12-month-SMA
                 - Go short on 1st day of a new month when 2 monthly candles 
                   have CLOSED below the 12-month-SMA

Wednesday, February 15, 2012

2012/02/13 decisionmoose.com signal: Buy US Small Caps, IWM - Russel 2000

On Monday February 13, 2012, a new BUY (switch) signal was published at http://decisionmoose.com/Moosignal.html :

Buy: US Small Caps (IWM, Russel 2000)
Sell: BTTRX Long-term Treasury Bonds (or ETF alternatives TLT, EDV, ZROZ)

More details about the portfolio and the transaction history at:  http://decisionmoose.com/Moosistory.html

Please note the comments of the signal author at decisionmoose.com/Moosignal.html :

"The model switches from Long-term Zero-Coupon Treasury Bonds to US Small Cap stocks (IWM) on 02/10/2011 @ $81.27. Always familiarize yourself with any investment program and the assets involved before committing to it. Read the FAQs and The Art of the Switch, below, and get a prospectus online from the fund provider.) "

2012/02/09 Goerke's International Stock-Climate Index triggers BUY SIGNAL

Ralf Goerke's monthly update on his proprietary and long-term tested Global Market-Climate Index can be found on his webpage or on www.teleboerse.de (in German). At the end of January, Goerke's International Stock-Climate Indicator had moved above the 1.0-threshold line, hinting that a BUY SIGNAL might be coming up soon. Gorke's BUY SIGNAL was then triggered on February 9, 2012, the day when it was also published in his subscription-only e-letter. On February 14, 2012 his buy signal was first made public on www.DAF.fm

SIGNAL German DAX and international markets:          BUY SIGNAL   since 9 February 2012



Thursday, February 9, 2012

2012/02/08 www.theetfbully.com issues new BUY SIGNAL for international equity funds

On Tuesday February 7, 2012 a new BUY signal was published at www.theetfbully.com:, to be in effect as of February 8, 2012:

Buy:  International Equity Funds / ETFs

Please read ALL the important comments of the signal author, Ulli the ETF BULLY at http://www.theetfbully.com/. Specifically, Ulli notes in his post:

"In regards to trends, our International Trend Tracking Index (TTI), which started to cross its long-term trend line last week, has now rallied above it by +2.83% generating a ‘Buy’ for that area.
 
Again, this only applies to “broadly diversified international equity ETFs/mutual funds.” If you are not fully invested at this point, you may consider allocating to this area as well. If you do, it is absolutely imperative that you maintain a trailing sell stop on your positions at all times, in case this new cycle runs into resistance and heads back into bear market territory."

You will find investment opportunities in Ulli's table with the Top International Funds / ETFs as of February 2, 2012 here.


Friday, February 3, 2012

2012/01/27 Goerke's International Stock-Climate Index hints BUY SIGNAL is ante portas

Ralf Goerke's monthly update on his proprietary and long-term tested International Stock-Climate Index can be found on his webpage or on www.teleboerse.de (in German). At the end of January, Goerke's International Stock-Climate Indicator has moved above the 1.0-line, hinting that a BUY SIGNAL might be coming up soon (or as Goerke puts it: buy signal ante portas). Gorke's BUY SIGNAL will be triggered when both, the indicator and its moving average cross the threshold value of 1.0. This might happen as early as in the second or third week of February 2012.

SIGNAL international markets:                         BUY SIGNAL around the corner  ante portas


Wednesday, February 1, 2012

2012/02/01 dshort.com triggers BUY SIGNAL for the S&P 500

Among many other signals, dshort.com monitors a simple but effective in-out-strategy based on the FIRST monthly close of the S&P 500 above or below its 12-month moving average (SMA). On January 31, 2012, the S&P 500 had its first monthly close above the 12-month SMA so that a BUY SIGNAL was triggered today on February 1, 2012. This BUY SIGNAL comes after five monthly closes below the 12-monthly SMA, since August 2011.