2015/02/05 Update: Crude in bull mode after pullback to Fibonacci-Cluster support @48 (CL, USO)

Crude (CL, USO) Fibonacci-Clusters after pullback to 48 

Update for yesterday's Fibonacci-Cluster Analysis for Crude (CL, USO) :
Crude pulled back into resistance cluster around 48, and now shows us that "it's alive" by moving above 49. We also got a long trigger signal with the EMA8/EMA34 crossing.  The new 127% Fibo target is now at 56, with an important hurdle form 50.80-51.60. The daily squeeze has not yet fired, but  if it fires long, it might give the movement up a nice boost :)

My personal (updated) ideas for possible trade implementation with options:

• 50/56 call debit spread (with new target = 56)
• At- the-money 49/51 put credit spread ( also called 100BinOpts, risk-balanced with 1 risk / make 1 )
• Delta70 options (aggressive, but should the squeeze fire, you'll get the highest profit potential) 

 

Update für die gestrige Fibonacci-Cluster Analyse für Crude (CL, USO):
Pullback bis ging runter bis 48 (50 war wohl zu wenig) und jetzt haben wir ein breakout über 49 mit long trigger (EMA8/EMA34). Wichtiger Widerstandsbereich bei 50.8-51.6, mit neuem Ziel 56. Der Squeeze hat noch nicht gefeuert, könnte aber einen schönen Schub bereitstellen.

Meine persönlichen Ideen zur möglichen Umsetzung mit Optionen:

• 50/56 Call-Debit Spread (mit Target = 56)
• At-the-money 49/51 Put-Credit Spread (auch 100BinOpts genannt, risiko-balanciert Risiko 1 / Potential 1)
• Delta70 Optionen (aggressiv, aber wenn der Squeeze feuert, dann höchstes Gewinnpotential)

2014/10/31 Trading up the S&P500 rally with Fibonacci-Cluster support (SPX SPY ES)

S&P 500 Fibonacci Clusters with repeated Symmetry Support

Nice rally S&P!!! ... great stuff but how to trade this market efficiently and how to jump on the train, when it's already in full speed? How about using Fibonacci-support-clusters for entry and for controlling risk? The chart shows a double bottom being formed on Oct 16, followed by a break of symmetry on Oct 20 (the symmetry stemming from a Oct 8-9 swing). This was the first indication that the trend had changed. From now on, the S&P followed a simple rhythm pattern, repeating very similar down-swings over and over again. Until today, there were six similar swings that could have been used to enter the market long and to define narrow stop-levels slightly underneath the Fibonacci support clusters (i.e, red closely staggered lines). With very narrow stops you would have been stopped out at points 3 and 6, but by giving the trade a bit more room to breath (and/or by working with options) you could have traded the full rally up with this technique. BTW, then next symmetry support Fib-Cluster is right there from 1990 - 2000, possibly a support zone for the next swing up? 

Schicke Rally S&P!!! ... super Ding, aber wie tradet man das effektiv und wie spring ich drauf auf den fahrenden Zug, wenn der schon so richtig in Schwung is? Der obige Chart zeigt uns, wie ein doppelter Boden am 16. Okt. ausgeformt wurde, gefolgt von einem Bruch der Symmetrie am 20. Okt. (die Symmetrie stammt von einem Swing am 8-9. Okt.). Dieser Bruch gab uns ein erstes Signal, dass der Trend gebrochen war. Von dann an folgte der S&P einem einfachen Rhythmus und wiederholte mehrere Male sehr ähnliche, kurze Abschwünge. Bis heute hatten wir sechs solcher Abschwünge, die jeweils gut für den Einstieg in den Markt benützt hätten werden können und die auch gut-definierte Stopp-Niveaus unter den Fibonacci-Clusters zur Verfügung stellten (siehe rote, eng zusammenliegende Linien). Mit sehr engen Stopps wäre man wohl bei den Punkten 3 und 6 ausgestoppt worden, aber mit ein bisschen mehr "Luft" in den Trades (und/oder mit Optionen als Handelswerkzeug), hätte man mit dieser Technik einen Grossteil der Rally hochtraden können. Übrigens, der nächste Symmetrie Fibo-Cluster bei 1990 - 2000 ist auch schon eingezeichnet und könnte eine mögliche Unterstützungszone für den nächsten Schwung nach oben anbieten? 

2014/07/04 Muenchner Rueckversicherungs AG - daily Squeeze & Fibonacci Targets

Muenchner Rueckversicherungs AG

Muenchner Rueckversicherungs AG has a lot of push power from Squeezes in the weekly/daily charts. It just broke above the important 163.5 resistance level with more upside potential. 

Fibonacci support and resistance levels:

Target 1 (30min - 161.8%): 165

Target 2 (daily - 100%): 170

Target 3 (daily - 127.2%): 175

Support Clusters(daily): 

Support 1: 159-156.8

Support 2: 151.8 - 150..9

Support 3: 147.6 - 145.8

2014/05/23 BIDU & NDX setup update: daily squeeze fired long while weekly squeeze is building thrust power

Short update for the NDX and the BIDU weekly-daily squeeze setup of May 19, 2014:

Driven by the Nasdaq breakout on Friday, the daily squeezes of both, BIDU and the NDX have fired long. In this move, BIDU has already reached a first target, the 127.2% Fib-extension at $167.05, which now adds to the overhead resistance of the April 25 swing high at $167.36. A small retracement on Tuesday possibly with an additional squeeze in the 30 min chart would be nice to find a good entry point for the long side.

What makes this setup so attractive is that there is lots of "squeeze-fuel" left in the trade, with a 7-9 bars expected move off the daily chart, and a weekly squeeze that hasn't even fired yet. A good time to turn on the squeeze thruster ...

BIDU

NDX

2014/05/19 BIDU with nice weekly daily and 30min squeeze setup

The chart says it all: BIDU's showing a nice weekly and daily squeeze setup, and just triggered an additional 30min squeeze long. I am watching the markets at the moment. Should the general direction be up today, BIDU has the potential to be great long candidate, also for the longer run. 

2014/01/21 S&P 500 and Russel 2000 consolidating with daily-squeeze and 4hour-squeeze patterns - expect a larger move ! (ES, SPY, SPX, RUT, IWM)

 S&P 500

Russel 2000

Two important indices, the S&P 500 and the Russel 2000 are consolidating with daily- and 4-hour squeeze patterns (the Russel even features a 30-min squeeze, too). When squeezed too hard, these "babies" like to escape from their cages, and they tend to do this at an accelerated pace that might last for a few days. While the direction of this move is still unclear, the momentum indicators on the 4-hour charts hint for higher levels of those indices. The 30-min squeeze of the Russel 2000 could be used as a trigger, when it fires long or short. 

2014/01/14 ES (SPY, SPX) at strong Fibonacci Cluster Support - will it hold?

After yesterday's significant sell-off, the E-mini S&P 500 Futures formed a large red candle that has reached an important Fibonacci support cluster. Today's price action will show if this support level can hold. If so, the rally might continue with upside targets in the 1852 - 1857 range. 

2013/10/24 TLT 20YR+ Treasury Bonds facing upside resistance at Fibonacci Cluster

 

TLT 20YR+ Treasury Bonds ETF facing overhead resistance at Fibonacci cluster range: 108.8 - 110.8

2013/10/22 SPX SPY SP500 Fibonacci Cluster upside resistance and targets

 

Fibonacci cluster target 1: 1753-1756
Fibonacci cluster target 2: 1782-1786

2013/10/18 GLD Gold ETF - facing strong upside resistance by Fibonacci Cluster

GLD Gold ETF - although GLD has broken out of a decending wedge yesterday, it is facing strong overhead resistance by a dense Fibonacci Cluster. If the 127.6 - 130.3 cluster zone can be cleared, there is plenty of room to the upside, with the extension targets:

Extension target 127.2%: 141.92
Extension target 161.8%: 147.41

2013/10/17 EEM Emerging Markets ETF - daily chart with Fibonacci Cluster targets and Elliott wave count

EEM MSCI Emerging Markets ETF - daily chart with Fibonacci Cluster targets and Elliott wave count:

Target Zone 1 (around 127.2% extension):             43.6-44

Target Zone 2 (around 161.8% extension):             44.6-45

2013/10/16 DOW Jones Industrial Futures YM - daily chart with Fibonacci Clusters - support and resistance

DOW Futures YM - daily chart with Fibonacci clusters indicating the support and resistance zones:

Support 1:                                15050-14970

Resistance Zone 1:                15250-15270

Risistance Zone 2:                 15410-15460

Extension Target 127,2%:      15926

2013/8/12 DAX weekly options trade is on with a wDAX 8450 PUT

NEW DAX TRADE:

S&P 500, DOW and FTSE 100 all show bearish tendencies. The DAX is the most bullish of all and had the most powerful intraday reversal, which also gives it the most downside potential. The weekly options trade with a long wDAX 8450 PUT and a chart with the setup can be found in the table in the InOutOptions tab.

2012/06/21 DOW JONES midterm Elliott Wave VIDEO ANALYSIS and CHART

After yesterday's sell-off, it's time for a fresh Elliott look at the DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL INDEX. As we have run against the mayor resistance level at 12900 in the last days, yesterday's huge drop can be interpreted as the start of a new mid-term Elliott wave. This wave will be the 3rd leg of an ABC formation that started with a dynamic Wave A down during May 2012 and its subsequently corrected in Wave B up until June 20. The recently launched 3rd Elliott Wave C is expected to cover at least 100% of the range of Wave A, i.e. the target area for Wave C will be around 11600. At the current stage (DOW @12600, with our target about 1000 ticks away), this setup provides us with good opportunities to construct mid-term trades with a few weeks holding time and very beneficial risk/reward ratios.

Mid-term:  Wave C will likely develop in 5 sub-waves down to 12400, 12000 and finally 11600.
      


Video Analysis for the Dow Jones Industrial Index

2012/06/14 EURUSD midterm Elliott Wave chart

Updated mid-term chart for our earlier EURUSD VIDEO ANALYSIS of 1 June 2012

Mid-term:  corrective Wave 4 has reached the 38.2% retracement level and is likely to head down in Wave 5 to 1.2274 (100%) or 1.2032 (161.8%)
     

2012/06/04 mid-term Elliott Analysis of the German DAX

Mid-term:   after the break of the purple Elliott 5-Wave defense line on June 1, 2012 at 6200, the way is now open for further moves downwards, possibly following a new 5-Wave pattern. In this pattern, Wave 3 could initially run down to about 5770 (162.8% extension) and then retrace back to about 6200 in Wave 4 (38.2% retracement)  

Long-term:  if this 5-wave pattern develops, Wave 5 could reach down as far as 5600 or even approach the September 2011 low at around 5000 

2012/06/03 Why InOutSignals for S&P500, DOW and DAX turned red on June 1, 2012

This video will give you a quick update on a few important market signals followed here on
InOutSignal.com and it will deliver one clear message:
Watch out, the risk is high at the moment that markets will drop sharply !

2012/06/01 EURUSD midterm Elliott Wave VIDEO ANALYSIS and CHART

In today's InOutSignal post, I feature not only a Chart of the EURUSD, but also a VIDEO ANALYSIS with a mid-term and long-term view of this important currency pair. Your feedback on content and quality of this video is greatly appreciated. More to come soon !

Mid-term:  Wave 3 likely to reach the 261.8% extension around 1.2150,
before corrective 38.2% retracement back to 1.2620 in Wave 4  
      
Long-term: continuation of the bearish movement likely with Wave 5
down to the targets 1.210 (100%) and 1.1040 (161.8%)

Video Analysis for the EURUSD chart

2012/03/05 InOutSignal midterm Elliott wave charts for the DAX and the Russel 2000

Find updated midterm Elliott wave charts for the DAX and the Russel 2000 on InOutElliott

    

DAX                                                    Russel 2000

2012/03/02 NEW on InOutSignal: midterm and longterm Elliott wave analyses on selected indices and currencies

A new page has been added to InOutSignal.blogspot.com, in order to provide my users with midterm and longterm Elliott wave analyses on selected indices and currencies. Please check out this link:  InOutElliott