2015/04/01 AAPL at Fibonacci Timing Low - but where will the Squeeze fire?

2015/03/29 TSLA close to Fibonacci Support - but not quite there yet

2015/03/09 CSCO long - Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels

2015/03/09 EMR short - Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels

2015/03/09 SLB short - Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels

2015/03/05 GILD breaking out with Squeeze power - Broken Wing Butterfly Setup

GILD breaking out with Squeeze power in the back - Trade Setup Broken Wing Butterfly

 

GILD is preparing a breakout from the triangle formation, with 1h and 4h Squeezes in the back for additional push power . GILD is part of the heath care sector XLF, which performs well at the moment. Since I like to trade a balanced risk / reward ratio, I am preparing a Apr15 Broken Wing Butterfly ago (BUY +1 BUTTERFLY GILD 100 April 15 100/110/115 CALL @ 3.77 LMT ) for the target 110 (127% Fibo extension ). The risk for one contract is then limited to $ 377 + commissions, with a max. potential of $ 600 at 110. Risk his is only downwards, upward will result in profits.

GILD bereitet einen Breakout aus der Dreiecksformation vor, mit 1h und 4h Squeezes für zusätzliche Push-Power. GILD gehört zum Heath Care Sektor XLF, der zur Zeit sehr stark ist. Da ich gerne ein ausgeglichenes Chance/Risiko-Verhältnis trade, bereite ich einen Apr15 Broken Wing Butterfly vor (BUY +1 BUTTERFLY GILD 100 APR 15 100/110/115 CALL @3.77 LMT) mit dem Kursziel 110 (127 Fibo-Extension). Das Risiko für einen Kontrakt ist dann auf $377 + Commies limitiert, mit einem max. Potential von $600 bei 110. Risiko gibts nur nach unten, nach oben wird in jedem Fall Gewinn geschrieben.

2014/10/28 DAX Fibonacci symmetry resistance cluster in 30 min Chart

DAX Fibonacci Cluster & Symmetry Resistance (30 min)

2014/08/29 UNG - Natural Gas Midterm Setup with Fibonacci Targets & Squeeze Support

UNG setup

Long Trade Setup for UNG (Natural Gas ETF) with Fibonacci Support/Resistance Clusters and midterm targets from the daily Chart:

- solid Fibonacci support cluster at 21

- seasonally expecting move up until the end of the year

- geo-political situation might help 

- the daily Squeeze just fired long yesterday, so we expect an average of 8-10 bars of daily push power

- breakout to a new swing high yesterday indicates that a new long trend could be established
- Fibonacci-target 1: 23
- Fibonacci-target 2 (and hurdle on the way up): 23.4-23.7

My Trade Strategy is to sell an at-the-money Put Credit Spread :  Sell GTC Jan15 +21/-23 ATM PCS at $1.10 or better (currently $1.13).

The idea is to have an "edge" from the analysis and to implement the trade with a neutral 1:1 risk/reward, after having paid commissions. If the spread is sold at $1.10, the max risk will be $0.90 + commissions.

If UNG expires in January above $23 you'll make +100% profit, if it expires below $21 your take the full loss of -100% (this works like a risk-balanced binary option, that's why I call it 100binOpts). In effect, you need only a $1 move up to make full profit on the trade. If you end up somewhere in between the $21-23 range you'll experience a partial profit or loss. Of course, partial profits/losses can also be taken at any time earlier than Jan 15.

2014/08/26 TSLA Squeeze Setup with Fibonacci Targets

TSLA setup

Long Trade Setup with Fibonacci Support/Resistance Clusters and midterm and longterm targets from the daily and weekly Charts:

- the weekly Squeeze has already fired long and a few more bars of push momentum in reserve
- the 4 hour Squeeze is getting ready fire long (with overnight data it already fired long)
- Fibonacci-support-cluster at 253-250
- Fibonacci-targets on the daily chart: 271.4 and 276.9
- Fibonacci-targets on the weekly chart: 288.9 and 319.3

2014/08/09 FSLR Squeeze Setup with Fibonacci Clusters

FSLR setup

Long Trade Setup with Fibonacci Support/Resistance Clusters and Squeeze push engine:

- above all EMAs 21/50/200 (supercalifragilistic setup)
- great push up from EMA 200 after earnings on good volume
- daily squeeze triggered long (2 bars) - weekly squeeze in place
- Fibonacci-support-cluster 60-55
- Fibonacci-target 80
- Fibonacci-hurdle 70

The first move up has taken FSLR up to the Fib-hurdle around 70. A pullback in the 65 zone would be nice and for me a preferred entry zone. If FSLR manages to get through the 70 zone, the move has a high probability to get to 80.

My Trade Strategy is to sell an at-the-money Put Credit Spread (my GTC limit order being already in the market):  Sell Sep14 62.5/67.5 ATM PCS at $2.55 GTC (currently $2.03)

=> if the FSLR expires above $67.5 you make +100% profit, if it expires below $62.5 your take the full loss of -100% (works like a binary option); if you end up in between the $62.5 - $67.5 zone you experience partial profit/loss

Should FSLR pull back to 65 my spread would be filled automatically at $2.55, which is a tiny bit more than 1/2 the spread (the extra 5 cents is to cover commissions). The basic idea is to risk $2.5 to make $2.5.  You will also make full profit if the stock moves up only slightly, no huge rally move needed :) 

Note: This is just a trading example for educational purpose only and should not be taken as trading advice. Trading Options carries substantial risk. An ATM credit spread generally risks the full width of the spread minus the credit received. This means that you need to employ your own risk and money management strategies. 

2014/07/02 DAX daily and 30min Squeezes with Fibonacci targets

DAX - FDAX

DAX daily/30 min Squeezes and upside Fibonacci Cluster resistance:

The DAX is building up Squeeze push power in the daily and 30 min charts. Should the Squeezes fire long, would the next Fibonacci Cluster targets be at 10134 and 10330.

2014/06/17 DAX Fibonacci Clusters for the 4h and 30min charts

DAX - FDAX

DAX Support and Resistance Fibonacci Clusters:

 after the Squeeze breakout there might be more more upside potential if a pull-back holds at the 9900 - 9867 Cluster

2014/06/16 DAX Fibonacci Clusters for the 4h and 30min charts

DAX - FDAX

DAX Support and Resistance: Fibonacci Clusters for the 4h and 30min charts

2014/03/23 AAPL Apple squeezed in weekly and daily charts setting up for a dynamic break-out

AAPL - Apple

Since the December 2013, Apple (AAPL) has formed a triangle pattern, squeezing the price now at the tip of the triangle in a narrow range between 526 to 535. Because of the symmetry of this triangle, the patter is neither bearish nor bullish. At the same time, the TTM-Squeeze indicator with four red dots the weekly and daily charts indicates that a dynamic move is just ahead of us. If triggered this move will likely push the price for 8-10 weeks in one or the other direction (i.e. about 8-10 momentum bars of the weekly TTM-Squeeze). At this time, we don't know in which direction the journey will go, but we might use the squeeze of the 30-minute chart as a trigger. 

My personal scheme to enter the trade with a 30-min trigger follows the rules:

1) The 8 EMA (green line ) needs to cross over the 20 SME (red mid-line of the Keltner Channel) in the 30-min chart
2)  The 30-min candle needs to close above the swing high 533.75 (long) or below the swing low 526.33 (short)
3) The TTM_Squeeze needs to have fired after the close of the 30-min bar (one green dot after a series of red dots) with either a blue momentum bar up (long) or a red momentum bar down (short)